Politics and Governance

Focus on the Balkans!

Writing for European Western Balkans, EWI CEO and President Cameron Munter—who recently spoke on the panel “Soft Power Revisited: Alternative Facts For A Post-Truth Reality” at the Belgrade Security Forum 2017—argues that American and European policymakers should be more engaged in the Balkans. 

The foreign policy of the United States has a new tone, one set by the leadership of Donald Trump in the White House. There is a new primacy of domestic policy, in which his constituency supports his stances on immigration and trade, and this translates into new kinds of debates on policies from NAFTA to refugee policy.

But this new tone is not the same thing as a wholesale change in policies. Indeed, there is a great deal of continuity in U.S. policy. There has been no change in America’s commitment to peace in the Balkans and a vision of the European future for the countries of the region. I would argue, though, that even though the policy remains steady, more support and energy is needed.

That is why American policymakers and their European friends need to continue to focus on the Balkans. Not only must they renew their understanding of the region, and not simply repeat the slogans of past years; they must also form partnerships with non-governmental actors, from the business communities of the Balkans, Europe, and America, to the institutions such as universities and think tanks that unite thinkers in this space, to the nonprofits like the EastWest Institute in New York, where I now serve as President, many of whom are gathering this week at the Belgrade Security Forum to address the new challenges of the region as well as the old.

The task is renewing and rebuilding support for the goal everyone still accepts: integration of the Balkan states into European structures, above all the EU. The old methods may not be sufficient: the history of the last decade has shown that the EU itself is undergoing great change, both as an institution and in the roles and political cultures of its constituent parts. From the debt crisis to Brexit to the populist challenges to the traditional assumptions of Brussels, the EU faces, and indeed should face, questions about how it works, how it retains legitimacy, and how it interacts with those in its neighborhood. This redirection of energy away from assumptions of an ever-expanding union toward the reality of Europe in a new world has, in my opinion, left many in the Balkans wondering if a European future for them is even on the agenda.

So we see that the Americans and the Europeans have new contexts, challenges we didn’t face when I served as American ambassador in Belgrade a decade ago. But this does not mean that Americans and Europeans—and above all, the people of the Western Balkans—should lose sight of the goals of integration. Quite the contrary: we need not to talk of going back to an earlier agenda, but achieving our goals in this new setting. Balkan leaders must show initiative to demonstrate to their voters that they’re serious about the reforms necessary to become part of the European family. European leaders must regain the concentration on issues as difficult as governance in Bosnia, stability in various states from Macedonia to Montenegro, and support for reasonable and constructive solutions in the relations of Serbia and Kosovo. And America needs to provide the sincere and concentrated support for such initiatives, solidarity with its European allies, and generosity and understanding for its Balkan friends.

In this new era, diplomatic engagement is absolutely necessary. But it is not sufficient. As diplomats from the Balkans, Europe, and America lead, it’s the role of the nongovernmental powers to support initiatives that will integrate the Balkans for business opportunities, thus providing the spark for prosperity that will give hope to young people who otherwise might decide to leave. It’s the role of nongovernmental powers to come up with creative ideas to get past logjams, to consider ways to promote institutional integration that are not slaves to “the way things were done before.” It’s above all the role of nongovernmental powers to respond to the very real desires of the public throughout the Euro-Atlantic space to see the people of the Balkans in their rightful place—as part of Europe.

The Belgrade Security Forum will be part of this. And the message that friends of the Balkans will take back to Europe and America will be: focus on the Balkans! Despite the changes in the tone of foreign policy, we still stare the same goals.

Click here to read this piece on European Western Balkans.

EWI’s William Parker Examines Geopolitical Risks with Bloomberg

William Parker, chief operating officer of the EastWest Institute, on Tuesday participated in a Geopolitical Risk Panel hosted by Bloomberg, in London, to discuss a variety of risks with global implications and impacts on investment decisions.

Following the panel discussion, Parker appeared on "Bloomberg Surveillance" with Francine Lacqua and Tom Keene to discuss rising tensions between the U.S. and North Korea, and the current state of the U.S. military and its future needs. 

To view the interview, please click here

Munter Talks the Balkans on Voice of America

Ambassador Cameron Munter spoke to Voice of America (VOA) about how new conflicts could be emerging in the Balkans due to a number of unresolved issues from the past.

In the interview, published on September 26, Munter also posed the question if Europe still had "the magnetic charm it had" for countries in that region.

Click here to listen to Munter's remarks, beginning around the 9:00 mark.

Related:

As Crisis Brews in the Balkans, the West Looks On

Clouds Gather on the Horizon of Germany's New Political Landscape

Writing for Stratfor, Ambassador Cameron Munter breaks down the implications of the stunning results from Germany's 2017 election.

This weekend, Angela Merkel won a fourth term as Germany's chancellor. Entering into her 13th year in the position, she is now one of the longest-serving leaders in postwar German and European history. The anticipated victory of her party, the Christian Democratic Union (CDU), and its Bavarian ally, the Christian Social Union (CSU), reflects the steadiness and predictability that the German electorate has traditionally prized. But the elections' results are more unsettling for those who view Germany as a beacon of the cautious, progressive conservatism that has characterized Merkel's rule for over a decade.

For the first time since the formation of the federal republic, the "Strauss Rule" has been broken: A party further right than the CDU will enter the German parliament. The Alternative for Germany (AfD) may not be the neo-Nazi party that some claim it is, but with 13 percent of the vote, it will use its position as the third-largest group in the Bundestag to elevate its hard-right platform among opposition lawmakers.

In fact, if there is one lesson to be taken away from the Sept. 24 vote, it is that Germany's traditional parties gave their worst performances ever. On the right, Merkel's CDU/CSU coalition took 33 percent of the vote, while on the left the Social Democratic Party (SPD) took only 20 percent. Moreover, in addition to the AfD, three other parties — the Free Democratic Party (FDP), the Greens and the Party of the Left — qualified for seats in the legislature, each hovering around 10 percent of the vote.

Read the full commentary here on Strator.

This article was also published on Forbes.

Photo Credit: "Bundestag" (CC BY-SA 2.0) by Michael Fötsch

Kawa Hassan Talks Kurdistan Referendum

Kawa Hassan, who leads the institute's Middle East and North Africa Program, said in Bloomberg that the Iraqi Kurds should have held formal talks instead of holding a referendum on September 25.

“The risk of confrontation is big, and nobody will benefit from a new round of war,” he said.

Read the full article in Bloomberg here.

In an interview with Christian Science Monitor, Hassan said that holding the vote amid heightened internal, regional, and international opposition would fragment and weaken the Kurdish position.

Read the full article here.

Cameron Munter Talks UN General Assembly with VOA

Ambassador Cameron Munter, President and CEO of the EastWest Institute, spoke with Voice of America about U.S. President Donald Trump's approach to foreign policy, Trump's interactions with North Korea, and how this will play out at this week's UN General Assembly.

"Look to him to try to continue to serve that constituency of his that brought him into power, and foreign policy will only be an outgrowth of that," said Munter. "That's not what people are used to at the UN. It's a new style and I think people have to get used to that, but it's not going to be a surprise. It's going to be more of what he's been doing for eight months." 

Click here to listen to Munter's remarks, beginning at 2:17 

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